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Some exchange operators already filed plans to introduce KPI-linked event contracts. Those derivatives would be tied to metrics such as corporate earnings or, in more nuanced cases, Apple iPhone shipments or Tesla deliveries — just two examples — in a given quarter.
While sports event contracts remain the headline-grabbers for prediction market operators, there’s evidence that other categories are experiencing growth. As Bernstein points out, cryptocurrency event contracts account for at least 20% of the turnover on the two largest prediction markets.
In another encouraging non-sports sign, one of those operators notched just $2 million in commodities volume last year, but that figure surpassed $410 million in August alone and is approaching $600 million on a year-to-date basis.
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“In our judgment, Evolution’s ineffective compliance procesures have allowed these situations to develop and therefore need prompt reevaluation and enhancement in order to comply fully with the terms of the contracts,” the report reads.
“Evolution may be unwittingly susceptible to having its games played through third-party operators, in violation of its contracts…”
The firm goes on to confirm that Evolution had therefore received income from these unauthorised activities.
How to play Sirens Spell
Raja, who has publicly described himself as the company’s founder, did not formally become a registered director until 2017.
Raja has characterized the allegations and media reporting against him as a “personal vilification campaign.”
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